Week 9 NFL odds, picks, predictions: Our NFL best bets, including a play in ChiefsBills Ed FengMatt Jacob and Michael FiddleNovember 1, 2025 at 3:05 AM 0 Week 9 of the NFL season began with a dominant performance by the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night, beating the Miami Dolphins 286 on the road as 7.5point favorites. What will the rest of the weekend have in store for bettors? Our NFL handicapping team of Ed Feng, Michael Fiddle and Matt Jacob combine to give their best bets for Week 9 of the NFL season. This article will be throughout the weekend.
- - Week 9 NFL odds, picks, predictions: Our NFL best bets, including a play in Chiefs-Bills
Ed FengMatt Jacob and Michael FiddleNovember 1, 2025 at 3:05 AM
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Week 9 of the NFL season began with a dominant performance by the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night, beating the Miami Dolphins 28-6 on the road as 7.5-point favorites.
What will the rest of the weekend have in store for bettors?
Our NFL handicapping team of Ed Feng, Michael Fiddle and Matt Jacob combine to give their best bets for Week 9 of the NFL season. This article will be throughout the weekend.
Odds courtesy of BetMGM and are subject to change.
Chicago Bears (-2.5, 51) at Cincinnati Bengals
Fiddle: The best line remaining on the entire NFL card is in this game. The Bengals have one of the weakest defenses in the NFL, and star defensive end Trey Hendrickson is listed as doubtful. The Bears will be ready to capitalize, especially after a bad loss last week against the improving Ravens. Chicago has the seventh-fewest turnovers, the 12th-most yards gained and are balanced, ranking 10th in the league both in passing and rushing yards. The market has sided with the Bears and I resoundingly agree.
Joe Flacco is also dealing with an AC joint sprain in his throwing shoulder and while he is likely to play through it, his effectiveness should decrease. This line shouldn't get out to -3 unless the Flacco news changes, so I like the Bears at any number before kickoff.
Bet: Bears -2.5
Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5, 43.5) at Tennessee Titans
Jacob: To say the Titans haven't done much right the last few seasons is akin to saying water is wet. Tennessee has now lost 32 of 42 games since the start of the 2023 campaign (including seven of eight this season).
One positive this year's Titans squad can cling to: The secondary has been pretty decent. In fact, that unit is surrendering just 215.8 yards per game. The defense has been particularly solid against tight ends.
To that point, the 53 yards that prized Colts rookie Tyler Warren racked up last week are the most Tennessee has surrendered to a tight end this year. (The Titans held Warren to just 38 yards in the first meeting.)
Now here comes another standout rookie in the Chargers' Oronde Gadsden II, who began the season with a whimper (total of eight catches and 76 yards in the first five games) but has since exploded (68, 164 and 77 yards the last three weeks).
Gadsden very well may prove to be the dynamic tight end the Bolts have been searching for since Antonio Gates retired. But I'm betting the Titans throw some cold water on him Sunday — in part because Gadsden is now a known quantity and in part because the Chargers probably won't have to put the ball in the air a lot to leave Tennessee with a "W."
Bet: Gadsden under 47.5 receiving yards (-110)
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-5.5, 45)
Feng: Drake Maye has been fantastic for New England at the most important position in football. However, a team also has to play defense, and the Patriots defense has been awful (31st in my adjusted yards per pass attempt). The defense has been so bad that it drags down New England to NFL average despite the brilliance of Maye.
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My best numbers have New England by 1.4 points, assuming Michael Penix Jr. plays for the Falcons. Betting Atlanta might be the easiest win of the season, as they have double-digit wins over Buffalo and Minnesota. Or betting Atlanta might make me look really dumb, as they have awful losses to Carolina and Miami. Still, there is value if Penix plays.
Bet: Atlanta +5.5
Fiddle: The Falcons are coming off a miserable game against the Miami Dolphins. They got behind early and game script was heavily against them with Kirk Cousins having to helm the team at QB. We should get the return of Penix, and the injury news that has emerged is on backup RB Tyler Allgeier, who sees very solid usage.
Early in the season the Falcons were hesitant to put a ton of usage on Bijan Robinson's plate, because they had a two-headed backfield and a long season ahead. That creates a buypoint now being at the midway point, off a bad loss, with the backup dinged up. Bijan Robinson will have a heavy workload this week. Take his over on carries.
Bet: Bijan Robinson over 15.5 rush attempts (-105)
Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 44) at Las Vegas Raiders
Jacob: The Jaguars certainly aren't without flaws, as we saw in their two most recent games (a 20-12 home setback to the Seahawks, followed by an ugly 35-7 loss to the Rams in London).
Then again, this is the same Jacksonville squad that preceded those defeats with three straight impressive wins over Houston, San Francisco and Kansas City (the latter two being outright upsets).
What about the Raiders? They opened with a 20-13 road upset of New England, but their only victory since came against the now 1-7 Titans. Bookending the 20-10 triumph over Tennessee: losses to the Colts and Chiefs by a combined score of 71-6.
Both teams are coming off byes. Las Vegas is 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS following a bye since 2017, with the offense averaging just 16.4 points in the seven losses. Jacksonville hasn't been any better post-bye (2-6 SU, 4-3-1 ATS).
However, the Jags are far better than Las Vegas this season — especially offensively, averaging a tick under 21 points and 335 yards per game. Conversely, the Raiders have scored the second-fewest points in the NFL (14.7 per game) and gained the third-fewest yards (276.4 per outing).
Bet: Jaguars -2.5
New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-14, 44)
Feng: New Orleans has decided to go with 26-year-old rookie Tyler Shough at QB. He faces an excellent Rams pass defense that ranks second in success rate after my algorithms adjust for opposing QBs. Shough has to deal with the elite pass rush duo of Jared Verse and Byron Young. I'd project 172.3 passing yards if Spencer Rattler were starting, and I expect Shough to be worse.
Bet: Shough under 190.5 passing yards
Kansas City Chiefs (-2, 52.5) at Buffalo Bills
Feng: Josh Allen has a solid 2% interception rate this season with only four interceptions. However, there are some troubling signs, as I have found that looking at the sum of interceptions and passes defended are a better way of predicting future interceptions. I call this sum "bad balls," and Allen's bad-ball rate of 15.1% this season has been worse than the NFL average of 12.1%. I still use Allen's data from prior seasons, but my model predicts a 48.3% chance Allen throws a pick in a competitive game against Kansas City. The break-even percentage for this price is 45.5%.
Bet: Allen over 0.5 interceptions (+120)
Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 53.5)
Jacob: The second-most prolific offense in the league: Dallas (30.8 points per game). The second-leakiest defense in the league: Dallas (31.2 PPG).
Now you know why the Cowboys' last five games (and six of the last seven) have gone over the closing total. Also, here are the combined scores of the three games played at AT&T Stadium this season: 40-37 (Giants), 40-40 (Packers) and 44-22 (Commanders).
As impressive as Dallas' full-game over streak has been, the team's first-half over results are even more mind-blowing. Fact: The Cowboys and their opponents have cleared the first-half total in every game this season.
The lowest-scoring first half of the bunch: Giants 13, Cowboys 10 in Week 2. The halftime score in Dallas' last three contests: 17-13 (at Carolina), 27-15 (vs. Washington) and 27-10 (at Denver).
Meanwhile, Arizona and its opponents are averaging 23.3 combined first-half points in the last three games. That won't be enough to cash the first-half over Monday night. Of course, none of those games involved the second-best scoring offense and second-best scoring defense, as this one will.
Bet: Total first-half points over 26.5 (-125)
Source: "AOL Sports"
Source: Sports
Published: October 31, 2025 at 09:27PM on Source: VOXI MAG
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