Ferocious hurricane Melissa is veering from the US. What's keeping it away? Dinah Voyles Pulver, USA TODAY October 28, 2025 at 4:40 AM 0 A series of weather systems have contributed to heavy rain and dangerous surf across parts of the Southeast, especially in Florida, but the welltimed systems also ...
- - Ferocious hurricane Melissa is veering from the US. What's keeping it away?
Dinah Voyles Pulver, USA TODAY October 28, 2025 at 4:40 AM
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A series of weather systems have contributed to heavy rain and dangerous surf across parts of the Southeast, especially in Florida, but the well-timed systems also are part of a weather pattern that's forecast to help spare the mainland U.S. from any direct impacts from powerful Hurricane Melissa.
On Oct. 26, "multiple feet" of water were reported in the lobby of a Boca Raton resort after heavy rains, according to the National Weather Service in Miami, Florida. Standing water also flooded an intersection in Palm Beach, the weather service said.
In Central Florida, more than 19 inches of rain was reported within 24 hours in Eustis, in Lake County, while more than 16 inches of rain was reported in multiple locations elsewhere in the county, according to the weather service office in Melbourne, Florida. In Titusville, home to Kennedy Space Center, more than 14 inches of rain was reported, and flood watches continued through Oct. 27, the weather service said.
While the storms that set daily rainfall records in Central and South Florida between Oct. 25-27 aren't directly connected to Melissa, they are part of a weather pattern the hurricane center expects to help steer Melissa off toward the Northeast in the Atlantic Ocean, said David Roth, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center. An eastern trough has been persistent since August, Roth said.
Melissa has strengthened into a hurricane in the Caribbean on Oct. 25 and could soon rapidly intensify into a monstrous Category 4 or 5 storm, bringing perilous threats of rain, winds and storm surge to northern Caribbean islands.A drone view shows a vehicle driving along a flooded street amid rain caused by Tropical Storm Melissa, in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, October 24, 2025.
" style=padding-bottom:56%>The National Hurricane Center reports Melissa has strengthened into a hurricane in the Caribbean on Oct. 25 and could soon rapidly intensify into a monstrous Category 4 or 5 storm, bringing perilous threats of rain, winds and storm surge to northern Caribbean islands.A drone view shows a vehicle driving along a flooded street amid rain caused by Tropical Storm Melissa, in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, October 24, 2025.
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The National Hurricane Center reports Melissa has strengthened into a hurricane in the Caribbean on Oct. 25 and could soon rapidly intensify into a monstrous Category 4 or 5 storm, bringing perilous threats of rain, winds and storm surge to northern Caribbean islands.A drone view shows a vehicle driving along a flooded street amid rain caused by Tropical Storm Melissa, in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, October 24, 2025.
">The National Hurricane Center reports Melissa has strengthened into a hurricane in the Caribbean on Oct. 25 and could soon rapidly intensify into a monstrous Category 4 or 5 storm, bringing perilous threats of rain, winds and storm surge to northern Caribbean islands.A drone view shows a vehicle driving along a flooded street amid rain caused by Tropical Storm Melissa, in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, October 24, 2025.
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1 / 23Hurricane Melissa slams the Caribbean. See the floods and impact on residents in photosA resident stands at a flooded section of Port Royal in Kingston on Oct. 27, 2025. Hurricane Melissa threatened Jamaica with potentially deadly rains after rapidly intensifying into a top-level Category 5 storm, as residents scrambled for shelter from what could be the island's most violent weather on record. Melissa has already been blamed for at least four deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, and was set to unleash torrential rains on parts of Jamaica in a direct hit on the Caribbean island.
Heavy rains are forecast to fall further north along the U.S. East Coast later in the week, with a "marginal" risk of excessive rainfall, enough to cause isolated flash flooding, over the Appalachians and portions of the Ohio and Tennessee valleys on the evening of Oct. 29 and morning of Oct. 30.
Sometimes, a slice of the weather patterns aloft can act to focus heavy rainfall over a region, Roth said. A similar risk of excessive rain is forecast over a region that includes Maryland, southeastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey on Oct. 30 and Oct. 31.
A system is forecast to help save Southern trick-or-treaters from sweltering in too-hot Halloween costumes by the end of the week, bringing below average temperatures across much of the east by Oct. 31. However, the low pressure systems are forecast to bring rain that could dampen All Hallows' Eve festivities in the Northeast.
A home decorated for Halloween in Louisville, Kentucky on Oct. 26, 2025. Halloween trick or treaters in the Southeast could see cooler temperatures while festivities along the northeast coast could see rain, according to the National Weather Service.
Hurricane Melissa, a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane, is forecast to make landfall along the southern Jamaica coast on the morning of Oct. 28, then leave a devastating trail in its wake across the island and across Cuba hours later. From there, the storm is forecast to move through the Central and Southeastern Bahamas, and cross over or near Bermuda on Oct. 30.
Melissa could briefly bring a swell and rough seas to the U.S. East Coast after it passes the Bahamas later in the week, but because of the angle and speed at which it's moving off into the Atlantic, Roth said any coastal impacts should be short-lived.
Hurricane Melissa strengthened into a powerful Category 5 hurricane with 175-mph winds on Oct. 27 as it barely moved in the Caribbean Sea south of Jamaica.
Although storms passing offshore, including tropical systems and a nor'easter, have caused erosion and beach impacts several times this hurricane season, the only Atlantic system to make landfall in the mainland U.S. so far was Tropical Storm Chantal, which moved over the South Carolina coast and through North Carolina on July 6.
One of five homes that collapsed within 45 minutes on Sept. 30, 2025, as rough seas from two hurricanes pounded away at beaches along portions of North Carolina's Outer Banks.
Dinah Voyles Pulver, a national correspondent for USA TODAY, covers climate change, wildlife and the environment. Reach her at [email protected] or @dinahvp on Bluesky or X or dinahvp.77 on Signal.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Weather systems forecast to help push Melissa away from East Coast
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